← Hyper - DTR Store Championship
Water AetherwingTier 2
at Hyper - DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.7%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1157
· median 1157
· range 1146–1168
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1164
Q3 1317
1484
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.1% | +14.5 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
